The Federal Reserve is widely expected to raise interest rates next week for the first time since July 2023. Historically, stocks often decline in the months following a rate hike but tend to recover over time. Traders widely expect an interest-rate hike—the first in more than three years—from the Federal Reserve when it meets next week. What’s next for stocks if that happens? If history is any guide, which is hardly guaranteed, they may lose steam before recovering. The first four months after the start of a rate-increase cycle on average saw negative returns for the S&P 500 in the six such cycles since 1994, LPL Financial Chief Equity Strategist Jeff Buchbinder said in a recent note. That would take us into early 2027.
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