Prediction-market platforms' courtship of Wall Street stands to bring in deeper professional liquidity and intensify competition, but will also mean it's harder for many traders to make money. Roughly 27% of dollar profits were captured by just 3% of accounts that are "persistently skilled," repeatedly moving market prices towards outcomes that eventually occurred, according to an academic working paper analyzing $13.76 billion of Polymarket trades. Skilled accounts earned consistent profits by reacting more quickly to publicly available news, arbitraging inconsistent pricing across related contracts and trading against behavioral errors.
Chung toi hien cong khai y chinh. Tao tai khoan mien phi de doc toan bo bai viet, luu, thao luan va ket noi voi boi canh thi truong va OSINT.