Veytics Intelligence
2026-09-14 · Vtmarkets

Euro slides as dollar strengthens on Fed hike bets, oil surge clouds Eurozone inflation outlook - VT Markets

The content here might not be relevant fo you. Would you like to visit the North America website? We see the EUR/USD trading under heavy pressure at 1.1525 today, September 14, 2026, as the US Dollar Index climbs to 99.66 ahead of tomorrow’s crucial Federal Reserve meeting. With the market pricing in an 86% chance of a rate hike after August’s 0.4% CPI jump, short-term traders should brace for intense currency swings. Historically, when market-implied probabilities for a Fed move cross the 80% threshold, the central bank delivers the expected rate change over 95% of the time. Given these high expectations, we believe the biggest risk for derivative traders is a “buy the rumor, sell the fact” reaction or an unexpected dovish tone from the Fed.

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