A market valuation signal with a near-perfect historical record just flashed for only the second time in the past 100 years. The first time it flashed this bright, the dot-com bubble collapsed and the S&P 500 lost roughly half its value. The S&P 500 Shiller CAPE ratio has stayed above 40 for three consecutive months, according to the Motley Fool. That has only happened once before in history, in the lead-up to the year 2000 crash. The ratio is currently just over 40. Its record high was 44, reached in late 1999, roughly four months before the dot-com bubble officially burst. What the CAPE ratio is actually signaling The CAPE ratio was developed by Nobel laureate Robert Shiller in 1988.
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