Key Points The U.S. economy doesn't look recessionary right now -- in fact, most professional forecasters predict growth for the rest of 2026. The S&P 500 is trading at its second-highest CAPE ratio in 156 years, making it very expensive by historical standards. Investors should exercise caution in 2026 and pick businesses with durable earnings. 10 stocks we like better than S&P 500 Index › Anyone who is eager to know the answer to the question, "Will there be a recession this year?" is bound to feel frustrated and disappointed with the two most commonly given answers. On the one hand, you'll hear, "Yes, a recession will likely come," which essentially means, "Recessions happen from time to time, and this bull market will wobble at some point.
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