Key Points The Federal Reserve recently raised its benchmark interest rate for the first time in more than three years, marking the beginning of a new tightening cycle. President Trump’s policies, especially tariffs and military action in Iran, have contributed to the inflation that made that rate hike necessary. Historically, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have frequently dropped into correction territory following the first rate hike in a new tightening cycle. 10 stocks we like better than S&P 500 Index › Since 1928, the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC) has declined in September 55% of the time, losing an average of 1.1%, according to Yardeni Research. Both metrics make September the worst month of the year for the U.S. stock market.
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