Veytics Intelligence
2026-09-25 · Aljazeera

Why Canada is not ruling out a possible war with the US

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney says he has examined the possibility of a US military attack against Canada, according to The New York Times. In an interview with the newspaper on Wednesday, Carney described an attack as an “extreme tail risk” – an event with a very low probability but potentially severe consequences. “That’s just risk management,” said Carney, the former head of the Bank of England. “It would be irresponsible not to.” Experts say his comments do not indicate that a war is likely or that Canada is preparing to fight one, but they do show that Carney considers it a remote possibility. Here is what that might mean. The main bones of contention are the ongoing trade war and Trump’s jibes about Canada becoming a US state.

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