Key Points Based on recent polling, Democrats are likely to win control of at least one chamber of Congress in November. This type of divided government after a midterm election has been a historic warning sign of lower-than-average S&P 500 returns -- at least in the short run. 10 stocks we like better than Vanguard S&P 500 ETF › The midterm elections are happening in November, and investors are wondering whether a big change in government power in Washington, D.C., will have a significant impact on Wall Street. Most of the time, the answer is: probably not. Politics don't tend to have a big impact on long-term stock market returns. Research from U.S.
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