History Shows: This Midterm Election Result Could Be a Warning Sign for the Stock Market

Key Points Based on recent polling, Democrats are likely to win control of at least one chamber of Congress in November. This type of divided government after a midterm election has been a historic warning sign of lower-than-average S&P 500 returns -- at least in the short run. 10 stocks we like better than Vanguard S&P 500 ETF › The midterm elections are happening in November, and investors are wondering whether a big change in government power in Washington, D.C., will have a significant impact on Wall Street. Most of the time, the answer is: probably not. Politics don't tend to have a big impact on long-term stock market returns. Research from U.S.