Key Points Investing in stocks in the third year of an election cycle has proven to be a great bet. The market has historically staged strong rallies from October through December. 10 stocks we like better than S&P 500 Index › One of the best predictors of stock market performance over the past nearly 90 years isn't some fancy valuation metric, like the Shiller cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings (CAPE) ratio or Buffett indicator. Nor is it some complex macroeconomic forecast or interest rate model. It's actually the midterm elections. According to research by Fidelity, the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) has had a positive performance one year after the midterm elections 95% of the time since 1938.
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