ING FX Strategist Francesco Pesole argues EUR/USD should be trading above 1.140 based on their models, with recent Euro weakness seen as somewhat overdone. He focuses on September Eurozone inflation and ECB communication as key drivers. While core inflation is expected to edge higher, he doubts this will push the ECB into a clearly more dovish stance. "Our models still suggest EUR/USD should be trading above 1.140. Clearly, the latest moves in bond markets, equities and oil all suggest against aggressively bucking the dollar uptrend. But we feel this week could bring some stabilisation after a decline that looks a bit overdone." "The highlight of the week in the eurozone is inflation data for September.
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