The euro weakened further to around $1.135, its lowest level since May 2025, as stalled negotiations over reopening the Strait of Hormuz pushed oil prices higher, strengthened expectations of further Federal Reserve rate hikes, and boosted safe-haven demand for the US dollar. Investors also weighed comments from ECB President Christine Lagarde alongside flash inflation data. Lagarde said the recent inflation surge has yet to generate significant second-round effects across the euro area, suggesting a measured policy response remains appropriate. With eurozone inflation already above 3% and potentially approaching 4% by year-end, markets are pricing in up to four additional rate hikes over the next year, following two increases over the summer.
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