Total Nonfarm Payrolls for September 2026 Are Projected to Rise By 90,000 - FactSet Insight

The median estimate for total nonfarm payroll employment for the month of September 2026 is 90,000. If 90,000 is the actual increase in nonfarm payrolls, it will mark a decrease relative to the previous month. However, it will also be above the trailing 12-month average of 50,300. August 2026 total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 162,000 compared to the median estimate for an increase of 60,000. Over the past 12 months, the total nonfarm payroll employment number has surpassed the median estimate in 6 months and fallen short of the median estimate in 6 months.