Veytics Intelligence
2026-10-02 · Morningstar

Soft September Jobs Report Has Market Dialing Back Calls for Fed Rate Hike - Morningstar

The US labor market looks stable, even as job growth slowed in September. Against that backdrop, analysts expect the Federal Reserve to remain focused on bringing inflation, which has run hot for more than five years, down to target. The US economy added 29,000 jobs last month, according to data released Friday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. That is fewer than the 95,000 economists expected and far fewer than the revised 133,000 jobs added in August. The unemployment rate rose slightly from 4.1% to 4.2%. Traders pared back their expectations for an October interest rate hike after the report. The bond futures market puts the chances of a Fed rate increase this month at less than 20%. A week ago, that prediction stood at over 60%.

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