Veytics Intelligence
2026-10-05 · Understandingwar

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 4, 2026 - Institute for the Study of War

The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) presented its main rhetorical framing to justify what will become Russia’s brutal Fall-Winter 2026-2027 strike campaign against Ukrainian critical infrastructure. The Russian MoD is unfoundedly framing these strikes as a response to many grievances going back several months. The Russian MoD announced on October 4 that it is intensifying its strikes against infrastructure in Kyiv City and Oblast and Ukraine writ large and framed this intensification as a response to alleged Ukrainian strikes against Russian civilian targets in multiple instances since June 2026.

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