Philip Morris International has ridden a strong multi year share price run, and that leaves investors asking whether the current valuation is still grounded in the earnings power of the business. With the stock now in a very different place than it was several years ago, the key issue is how much of its profit story is already baked into today's price. Over the past 5 years the stock has returned 160.9%. This puts a lot of weight on the question of how its current earnings stack up against that move. The company has committed about US$16b to less harmful alternatives, which can reshape future earnings mix, cash flow timing, and the level of reinvestment needed to support profit growth.
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