Eurozone annual inflation rose to 3.8% in September from 3.2% in August – the highest level in recent months. Energy prices increased by 18.9% year-on-year, while services inflation stood at 3.2%. US CPI accelerated to 3.7% in September from 3.4% in August. The energy index rose by 5.2% over the month, with gasoline prices up 9.1%. Core CPI stood at 2.6%. Budget negotiations have begun in the French parliament, but with no stable ruling majority and the political crisis dragging on, EUR/USD could fall to 1.05 in a worst-case scenario. UBS forecasts that EUR/USD will recover to 1.16 by year-end. The 10-year US Treasury yield has climbed above 5.30%, giving the dollar a significant yield advantage.
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