The LEI dropped by 0.8 per cent over the six months ending September 2026, a slightly faster decline than the 0.6 per cent contraction recorded from September 2025 to March 2026. The measure is designed to provide an early indication of significant business-cycle turning points and the economy’s near-term direction. The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index (CEI) for the Euro Area rose by 0.1 per cent in September 2026 to 110.4 (2016=100), following no change in August. The CEI, which indicates the current state of the economy and is highly correlated with real gross domestic product (GDP), expanded by 0.1 per cent from March to September 2026, compared with 0.3 per cent growth from September 2025 to March 2026.
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