The greenback has had a good start to the week – in our view, thanks to AI-sentiment stabilisation and some positioning ahead of tomorrow’s FOMC announcement. Today, the focus will be on US consumer confidence, as well as Israeli elections and their potential impact on the Middle East equilibrium. In New Zealand, we expect a hawkish 25bp hike overnight The dollar has found good support early this week, as stabilising AI-related sentiment has allowed markets to reconnect with the broader supportive backdrop of a hawkish Federal Reserve and high energy prices.
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