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At its meeting ending on 4 November 2026, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted by a majority of 8–1 to increase Bank Rate by 0.25 percentage points, to 4%. One member voted to increase Bank Rate by 0.5 percentage points, to 4.25%. The conflict in the Middle East is now in its ninth month. Global energy prices have continued to rise from an already elevated level. UK CPI inflation increased to 3.5% in September. It is now expected to rise to around 5% by the middle of next year. It is then projected to fall as the impact of rising energy prices on 12-month inflation rates fades, and still restrictive monetary policy bears down on inflation.
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