Is Oracle (ORCL) Reasonable After Its AI Cash Flow Targets?

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Oracle Corporation has been pulled sharply lower over the past year, even as management lays out an aggressive plan built around AI infrastructure and future free cash flow. That disconnect puts the focus squarely on one issue for investors who follow Oracle: whether the current share price lines up with what its cash flows can support over time. Oracle stock has fallen 52.1% over the past 12 months, which puts a lot of weight on whether the cash it can generate in the coming years justifies where the shares trade today. Management is targeting large AI driven revenue and free cash flow in the next decade, which can reshape expectations for how quickly the business turns heavy AI investment into self funded cash generation.