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The pound is set to draw support against the euro and the dollar in 2027, as official and private-sector forecasts show UK inflation falling far more slowly than inflation in the eurozone and the US. This higher-for-longer inflation profile will limit the Bank of England's ability to lower interest rates, in turn allowing sterling to keep its yield advantage over the euro and keep in touch with the high-yielding dollar. The Bank of England projects inflation peaking at 4.9% in the second quarter of 2027 and standing at 4.0% at the end of the year, its November Monetary Policy Report shows. The Bank does not expect inflation to return to the 2.0% target until the third quarter of 2028 and it raised Bank Rate to 4.
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