Do low jobless claims tell an accurate story anymore? - Marketplace.org

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Jobless claims, a proxy for layoffs, are at a 57-year low. But the job market isn't as good as that suggests. We got good news in the October 2026 jobs report , with 165,000 jobs added to the economy and unemployment ticking down to the historically relatively low level of 4.1%. And we got, if anything, better news on first-time weekly jobless claims (for the week ending Oct. 31), which fell to an even more historically low 189,000. Initial claims haven’t been this low since September 1969 . Keep in mind, back then, we only had about half as many workers who could even get laid off and go on unemployment. Economic journalists often refer to initial jobless claims as a “proxy” for layoffs in the economy.